GCN Circular 38149

The LIGO Scientific Collaboration, the Virgo Collaboration, and the KAGRA Collaboration report:

We have conducted further analysis of the LIGO Hanford Observatory (H1) and Virgo Observatory (V1) data around the time of the compact binary merger (CBC) candidate S241109bn (GCN Circular 38142
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). Parameter estimation has been performed using Bilby [1] and a new sky map, Bilby.offline0.multiorder.fits,0, distributed via GCN Notice, is available for retrieval from the GraceDB event page:

https://gracedb.ligo.org/superevents/S241109bn

Based on posterior support from parameter estimation [1], under the assumption that the candidate S241109bn is astrophysical in origin, the probability that at least one of the compact objects is consistent with a neutron star (HasNS) is <1%. [2] Using the masses and spins inferred from the signal, the probability of matter outside the final compact object (HasRemnant) is <1%. [2] Both HasNS and HasRemnant consider the support of several neutron star equations of state for maximum neutron star mass. The probability that either of the binary components lies between 3 and 5 solar masses (HasMassGap) is 43%.

Preliminary information from parameter estimation seems to indicate a much smaller NSBH probability than initially reported (GCN Circular 38142
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), and almost certainly a BBH origin.

For the Bilby.offline0.multiorder.fits,0 sky map, the 90% credible region is 10138 deg2. Marginalized over the whole sky, the a posteriori luminosity distance estimate is 603 +/- 159 Mpc (a posteriori mean +/- standard deviation).

For further information about analysis methodology and the contents of this alert, refer to the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Public Alerts User Guide https://emfollow.docs.ligo.org/.

 [1] Ashton et al. ApJS 241, 27 (2019) doi:10.3847/1538-4365/ab06fc
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 and Morisaki et al. PRD 108, 123040 (2023) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.108.123040
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 [2] Chatterjee et al. ApJ 896, 54 (2020) doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab8dbez
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