GCN Circular 41745
Subject
LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA S250906ca: Identification of a GW compact binary merger candidate
Date
2025-09-07T18:01:44Z (2 days ago)
From
Mayara Hilgert Pacheco at LIGO <mayara.pacheco@inpe.br>
Via
Web form
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration, the Virgo Collaboration, and the KAGRA Collaboration report:
We identified the compact binary merger candidate S250906ca during real-time processing of data from LIGO Hanford Observatory (H1), LIGO Livingston Observatory (L1), and Virgo Observatory (V1) at 2025-09-06 12:23:59.099 UTC (GPS time: 1441196657.099). Automated LVK preliminary notices as well as this initial circular were delayed by a day due to the consequences of a power outage in our main computing center for processing low-latency alerts. The candidate was found by the GstLAL [1] and MBTA [2] analysis pipelines.
S250906ca is an event of interest because its false alarm rate, as estimated by the online analysis, is 1.1e-13 Hz, or about one in 1e5 years. The event's properties can be found at this URL:
https://gracedb.ligo.org/superevents/S250906ca
The classification of the GW signal, in order of descending probability, is BBH (>99%), NSBH (<1%), Terrestrial (<1%), or BNS (<1%).
Assuming the candidate is astrophysical in origin, the probability that at least one of the compact objects is consistent with a neutron star mass (HasNS) is <1%. [3] Using the masses and spins inferred from the signal, the probability of matter outside the final compact object (HasRemnant) is <1%. [3] Both HasNS and HasRemnant consider the support of several neutron star equations of state for maximum neutron star mass. The probability that either of the binary components lies between 3 and 5 solar masses (HasMassGap) is 6%.
The source chirp mass falls with highest probability in the bin (5.5, 11.0) solar masses, assuming the candidate is astrophysical in origin.
Two sky maps are available at this time and can be retrieved from the GraceDB event page:
* bayestar.multiorder.fits,0, an initial localization generated by BAYESTAR [4], distributed via GCN and SCiMMA notices about a day after the candidate event time.
* bayestar.multiorder.fits,1, an initial localization generated by BAYESTAR [4], distributed via GCN and SCiMMA notices about a day after the candidate event time.
The preferred sky map at this time is bayestar.multiorder.fits,1. For the bayestar.multiorder.fits,1 sky map, the 90% credible region is 520 deg2. Marginalized over the whole sky, the a posteriori luminosity distance estimate is 1195 +/- 307 Mpc (a posteriori mean +/- standard deviation).
For further information about analysis methodology and the contents of this alert, refer to the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Public Alerts User Guide https://emfollow.docs.ligo.org/.
[1] Tsukada et al. PRD 108, 043004 (2023) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.108.043004 and Ewing et al. PRD 109, 042008 (2024) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.109.042008
[2] Alléné et al. CQG 42, 105009 (2025) doi:10.1088/1361-6382/add234
[3] Chatterjee et al. ApJ 896, 54 (2020) doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab8dbe
[4] Singer & Price PRD 93, 024013 (2016) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.93.024013