GCN Circular 42690
Subject
LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA S251112cm: Updated Sky localization and false alarm rate estimate
Date
2025-11-15T00:41:29Z (7 days ago)
From
Colm Talbot at Princeton University <talbotcolm@gmail.com>
Via
Web form
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration, the Virgo Collaboration, and the KAGRA Collaboration report:
We have conducted further analysis of the LIGO Hanford Observatory (H1), LIGO Livingston Observatory (L1), and Virgo Observatory (V1) data around the time of the compact binary merger (CBC) candidate S251112cm (GCN Circular 42650). Parameter estimation has been performed using Bilby [1] and a new sky map, Bilby.multiorder.fits,1, distributed via GCN and SCiMMA notices, is available for retrieval from the GraceDB event page:
https://gracedb.ligo.org/superevents/S251112cm
For the Bilby.multiorder.fits,1 sky map, the 90% credible region is 1681 deg2. Marginalized over the whole sky, the a posteriori luminosity distance estimate is 93 +/- 27 Mpc (a posteriori mean +/- standard deviation).
The false alarm rate, as estimated by the MBTA SSM analysis pipeline with an updated background model, has been updated to about one in 4 years.
The online search for sub-solar-mass regions is covered by two independent pipelines: MBTA SSM and GstLAL SSM [2]. For the parameter space relevant to the present candidate, only MBTA SSM provides online coverage; therefore, the candidate was triggered solely by MBTA SSM.
For further information about analysis methodology and the contents of this alert, refer to the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Public Alerts User Guide https://emfollow.docs.ligo.org/.
[1] Ashton et al. ApJS 241, 27 (2019) doi:10.3847/1538-4365/ab06fc and Morisaki et al. PRD 108, 123040 (2023) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.108.123040
[2] https://emfollow.docs.ligo.org/userguide/analysis/index.html#false-alarm-rate-for-alerts-and-trials-factor