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LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA S241210d

GCN Circular 38512

Subject
LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA S241210d: Identification of a GW compact binary merger candidate
Date
2024-12-10T03:15:41Z (6 months ago)
From
ryoya@phys.aoyama.ac.jp
Via
Web form
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration, the Virgo Collaboration, and the KAGRA Collaboration report:

We identified the compact binary merger candidate S241210d during real-time processing of data from LIGO Hanford Observatory (H1) and LIGO Livingston Observatory (L1) at 2024-12-10 02:33:35.191 UTC (GPS time: 1417833233.191). The candidate was found by the GstLAL [1] and MBTA [2] analysis pipelines.

S241210d is an event of interest because its false alarm rate, as estimated by the online analysis, is 4.4e-08 Hz, or about one in 8 months. The event's properties can be found at this URL:

https://gracedb.ligo.org/superevents/S241210d

After parameter estimation by RapidPE-RIFT [3], the classification of the GW signal, in order of descending probability, is BBH (97%), Terrestrial (3%), NSBH (<1%), or BNS (<1%).

Assuming the candidate is astrophysical in origin, the probability that the lighter compact object is consistent with a neutron star mass (HasNS) is <1%. [4] Using the masses and spins inferred from the signal, the probability of matter outside the final compact object (HasRemnant) is <1%. [4] Both HasNS and HasRemnant consider the support of several neutron star equations of state for maximum neutron star mass. The probability that either of the binary components lies between 3 and 5 solar masses (HasMassGap) is 4%.

Two sky maps are available at this time and can be retrieved from the GraceDB event page:
 * bayestar.multiorder.fits,0, an initial localization generated by BAYESTAR [5], distributed via GCN notice about 29 seconds after the candidate event time.
 * bayestar.multiorder.fits,1, an initial localization generated by BAYESTAR [5], distributed via GCN notice about 5 minutes after the candidate event time.

The preferred sky map at this time is bayestar.multiorder.fits,1. For the bayestar.multiorder.fits,1 sky map, the 90% credible region is 4583 deg2. Marginalized over the whole sky, the a posteriori luminosity distance estimate is 7530 +/- 2565 Mpc (a posteriori mean +/- standard deviation).

For further information about analysis methodology and the contents of this alert, refer to the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Public Alerts User Guide https://emfollow.docs.ligo.org/.

 [1] Tsukada et al. PRD 108, 043004 (2023) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.108.043004 and Ewing et al. (2023) arXiv:2305.05625
 [2] Aubin et al. CQG 38, 095004 (2021) doi:10.1088/1361-6382/abe913
 [3] Rose et al. (2022) arXiv:2201.05263 and Pankow et al. PRD 92, 023002 (2015) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.92.023002
 [4] Chatterjee et al. ApJ 896, 54 (2020) doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab8dbe
 [5] Singer & Price PRD 93, 024013 (2016) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.93.024013


GCN Circular 38531

Subject
LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA S241210d: Updated Sky localization and EM Bright Classification
Date
2024-12-11T10:24:18Z (6 months ago)
From
Soichiro Morisaki at U. of Tokyo <soichiro.morisaki@ligo.org>
Via
Web form
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration, the Virgo Collaboration, and the KAGRA Collaboration report:

We have conducted further analysis of the LIGO Hanford Observatory (H1) and LIGO Livingston Observatory (L1) data around the time of the compact binary merger (CBC) candidate S241210d (GCN Circular 38512). Parameter estimation has been performed using Bilby [1] and a new sky map, Bilby.offline0.multiorder.fits,0, distributed via GCN Notice, is available for retrieval from the GraceDB event page:

https://gracedb.ligo.org/superevents/S241210d

Based on posterior support from parameter estimation [1], under the assumption that the candidate S241210d is astrophysical in origin, the probability that at least one of the compact objects is consistent with a neutron star mass above one solar mass (HasNS) is <1%. [2] Using the masses and spins inferred from the signal, the probability of matter outside the final compact object (HasRemnant) is <1%. [2] HasRemnant is assumed to be zero when the heavier component mass is below 1 solar mass. Both HasNS and HasRemnant consider the support of several neutron star equations of state for maximum neutron star mass. The probability that either of the binary components lies between 3 and 5 solar masses (HasMassGap) is <1%.

For the Bilby.offline0.multiorder.fits,0 sky map, the 90% credible region is 3777 deg2. Marginalized over the whole sky, the a posteriori luminosity distance estimate is 5507 +/- 2073 Mpc (a posteriori mean +/- standard deviation).

For further information about analysis methodology and the contents of this alert, refer to the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Public Alerts User Guide https://emfollow.docs.ligo.org/.

 [1] Ashton et al. ApJS 241, 27 (2019) doi:10.3847/1538-4365/ab06fc and Morisaki et al. PRD 108, 123040 (2023) doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.108.123040
 [2] Chatterjee et al. ApJ 896, 54 (2020) doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab8dbe

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